Democrats increase registration edge in key House districts

Most of New Jersey’s most closely-watched congressional districts have become more Democratic since Election Day 2018.

In the 3rd district, where Rep. Andy Kim (D-Marlton) is seeking re-election to a second term, Democrats have increased their vote registration advantage from +10,842 to +12,178.

The 7th district had 6,709 more Republicans than Democrats in November 2018 when Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes) ousted a five-term GOP congressman.  Now the Republican registration edge has dropped to +1,420.

Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis) was a Democrat when he flipped the 2nd district House seat at a time when there were 16,896 more Democrats than Republicans. Democratic registration edge has dropped by 325 to +16,571 at a time when Van Drew has switched parties and is seeking a second term as a Republican.

In the 11th district, where Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair) flipped a House seat two years ago after 34 years of a GOP congressman, the district has 1,235 more Republicans than Democrats.  On Election Day 2018, the Republican edge was +6,159.

When Rep. Josh Gottheimer unseated a seven-term incumbent in 2016, the 5th district had 2,370 more Republicans than Democrats.  By 2018, the district flipped to a Democratic voter registration advantage of +3,680.  Now there are 6,608 more Democrats than Republicans – a swing of +8,978 for the Democrats.

Just one of New Jersey’s twelve congressional districts has become significantly more Republican, where Rep. Christopher Smith (R-Hamilton) is seeking re-election to a 21st term in Congress.

The 4th had 18,367 more Republicans than Democrats in 2018; now the GOP registration advantage has spiked to +22,164.