Voters think U.S. Sen. Cory Booker has about a 50% chance to beat President Donald Trump if he wins the Democratic nomination, according to a new Monmouth University poll released today.
Booker scored an electability rating of 5.3, the same rating earned by Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke.
The poll tested candidates’ perceived electability by having voters rate 11 candidates on how well they believed they’d fair against Trump on a scale of 0-10, with a zero meaning a definite loss, a 10 indicating a definite win and a five signaling a tossup.
Former Vice President Joe Biden led the pack in the electability and horse race polls.
He earned a 7.7, with 59% of respondents giving him a score of eight or above in electability.
“Democratic voters have told us that electability matters in 2020. The perception that Biden is the party’s best shot against Trump separates him from the rest of the pack in the minds of his own supporters,” said Murray. “Other Democratic voters also tend to see Biden as a highly electable nominee. This could play to his advantage as the field gets winnowed, but only if he can maintain this aura as the primary campaign really gets underway.”
New York Mayor Bill DeBlasio got the lowest electability score, a 4.3.
With 32% support, the former vice president continues to lead the Democratic presidential primary field.
The New Jersey senator scores just 2% nationally, tying with entrepreneur Andrew Yang for seventh place.
That puts Booker slightly above where he placed in a Monmouth poll conducted last month, though the results are within the poll’s margin of error.
U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren slightly edged U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders 15%-14%, with Kamala Harris at 8%.
Booker trails U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris (8%), South Bend Mayor Peter Buttigieg (5%) and O’Rourke (3%).
In that poll, Booker got 1% support.
The first round of Democratic presidential primary debates are scheduled for next week, and Murray indicated it’s possible whatever happens there could change the paradigm of the race.
“Electability is in the eye of the supporter,” Murray said. “At this early stage of the race, voters have not had a chance to make direct comparisons among the candidates, which makes it is easier to project a sense of electability on almost anyone in the field. All this could change after next week’s debates.”