Menendez leads by 5 points, new poll says

Incumbent Bob Menendez leads Republican challenger Bob Hugin by five points, 47%-42%, according to a new Emerson College poll released this morning.

Menendez has upside-down favorables of 34%-53%, while Hugin is at 30%-33%.

President Donald Trump also has favorables that are upside-down, 36%-57%.

Hugin has a seven-point lead among Independents, 48%-41%.

Among Independent voters, Menendez has favorables of 30%-60%.  Hugin is at 37%-32%.

Menendez has a 14-point lead among women, 51%-37%, while Hugin has a 47%-43% lead among men.

Non-white voters are going for Menendez by a 3-1 margin.

Emerson also uses a forced choice option, which pushes undecided voters into one camp or the other.

“Menendez does clear 50% with those 7% of voters that are still undecided are breaking for Menendez,” said Spencer Kimball, the director of Emerson College Polling and an assistant professor.  “So it suggests that Menendez will be able to close out the race.”

Asked if they trust Menendez, 44% of voters said they did and 56% indicated they did not.

The poll was conducted between October 24-26 with a sample size of 659  and has a margin of error of +/-5%.  It is a computer response automatic poll.

Emerson College polls were graded B+ by FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings.

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Emerson Frequency Table