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Democratic internal poll has Kennedy leading Van Drew

Another Democratic poll shows NJ-2 race tied; both polls show Trump vs. Biden in a dead heat

By David Wildstein, August 13 2020 5:33 pm

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has a new internal poll showing Amy Kennedy with a six-point lead, 50%-44%, against freshman Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis) in New Jersey’s 2nd district.

With leaners included, Kennedy leads 51%-46% against Van Drew, a longtime Democrat who switched parties late last year after refusing to support the impeachment of President Donald Trump.

The poll shows Trump and Joe Biden statistically tied in a district Trump won by five points in 2016.

Biden is ahead 46%-45%; with leaners, Trump is up 47%-46%.

A poll from the House Majority PAC shows Kennedy and Van Drew tied at 43%.  With leaners, Kennedy leads Van Drew, 46%-45%.  The Democratic-aligned PAC poll shows Trump and Biden tied at 44%; with leaners, the two presidential candidates are tied at 46%.

That poll gives Van Drew an upside-down 41%-46% job approval rating.  Trump’s approvals in the 2nd district are at 45%-43%.

The DCCC poll was in the field August 4-6, surveying 400 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

The House Majority PAC poll was conducted by the Global Strategy Group between August 1-5 with a sample size of 400 interviews and a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

Van Drew spent seventeen years in the New Jersey Legislature before winning a congressional seat by a 53%-45% margin in 2018 against Republican Seth Grossman, a former Atlantic County Freeholder.

Trump endorsed Van Drew after his party switch and local Republicans quickly followed.  He won 82% of the vote in his first GOP primary.

Kennedy, a former public school teacher and the wife of former Rep. Patrick J. Kennedy (D-Rhode Island), won a landslide victory in the Democratic primary.  She won a 62%-22% margin against her closest competitor in a five-candidate field.

The 2nd district 19,535 more Democrats than Republicans.

The district was represented by Republican Frank LoBiondo (R-Ocean City) for 24 years before his retirement in 2018.  Democrats held the seat from 1975 to 1995.

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