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Democrats approach million voter registration edge in New Jersey

More than 240,000 new registered Democrats since Trump election

By David Wildstein, December 04 2019 12:15 pm

New Jersey now has 981,303 more Democrats than Republicans, according to statewide voter registration numbers released by the New Jersey Secretary of State.

Democrats are on a path to having a registration edge of one million voters at some point in 2020 after adding 241,760 new voters since Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential election.

Republicans have added 123,006 new voters during the same time period.

Perhaps more significant is another milestone: New Jersey is on the cusp of having more Democrats than unaffiliated voters – sometimes called independents – for the first time in state history.

There are currently 70,311 more unaffiliateds than Democrats, a substantial closing of a gap that was 176,473 at the end of last year and 442,182 since Trump’s election.

As New Jerseyans choose to formally declare their political party with expanded frequency, the state now has 200,422 less unaffiliated voters than it did on Election Day 2016.

In the first eleven months of 2019, the state has added 92,245 more Democrats and 47,181 more Republicans.

In November, New Jersey an additional 2,461 Democrats and 929 new Republicans.

Congressional districts

New Republican registration has outpaced Democrats in the 3rd district, where freshman Rep. Andy Kim (D-Marlton) is expected to face a tough campaign to hold his seat.

In 2019, the district added 5,418 new Republicans and 3,882 new Democrats.  Democrats still have a registration edge of 10,881 after beating the GOP in November registration, 512 to 96.

In the 7th district, where Republicans are looking to unseat freshman Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-Rocky Hill), Democratic voter registration has outpaced the GOP by a 2-1 margin this year.

Democrats have added 8,136 new voters, while the district has an additional 4,031 Republicans.  That narrows the GOP registration advantage from 6,418 at the end of last year to 2,313.

Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff) continues to see a growth of the number of Democrats in the 5th district since he toppled a seven-term Republican congressman three years ago.

Since 2016, the 5th has added 19,758 more Democrats and 11,105 more Republicans.  Democrats now have a registration edge of 6,283.  This year, the district gained 7,372 more Democrats and 5,004 more Republicans.

In the 2nd district, where freshman Rep. Jeff Van Drew (D-Dennis) faces potentially competitive primary and general elections, Democrats have only marginally outpaced  Republicans,

The district picked up 5,109 new Democrats and 4,391 extra Republicans in 2019.  Democrats have a registration edge of 17,235.

Registration statistics are good news for freshman Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair), who flipped a House seat in 2018 that the GOP had held for 34 years.

So far this year, Democrats outperformed Republicans in new voter registration by a 2 ½ to 1 margin, 6,269 to 2,474.

The Republican registration advantage in the 11th is now down to 2,030 – an enormous difference from their edge of 12,813 after Trump’s election.

Rep. Christopher Smith (R-Hamilton), the only Republican in the New Jersey congressional delegation, has also seen his district become even more Republican as he prepares to seek his 21st term in the U.S. House of Representatives.

In 2019, Republicans added 5,818 new voters, compared to 2,282 new Democrats.  The GOP edge is now 21,823, up from 15,432 since the 2016 election.

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