Democrat Tom Malinowski leads Rep. Leonard Lance (R-Clinton) by eight points, 47%-39%, in a new New York Times/Siena College poll completed this evening.
Malinowski led Lance 47%-44% — within the margin of error — in a Monmouth University poll released this morning.
Tonight’s poll gave Malinowski, a former Assistant U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration, a 53%-33% lead among women and a 51%-32% lead among Independents. He is also ahead 65%-26% among voters ages 18-29, and up by 27 points, 57%-30%, among voters 30-44.
Lance, a five-term incumbent, leads 47%-33% among men.
The two candidates are in a statistical tie among voters over age 45.
Among those who have already voted, either by mail or early voting at the county clerk’s office, Malinowski has a 59%-31% lead.
The NYT/Siena poll was conducted between October 28-31, had a sample size of 503 and a margin of error of +/- 4.6%.