Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff) has a substantial 62%-21% lead over Arati Kreibich in an internal tracking poll of likely Democratic primary voters in New Jersey’s 5th district.
With leaners added, Gottheimer’s head-to-head numbers against Kreibich move up to 66%-23%.
Kreibich, a Glen Rock councilwoman, launched her bid to unseat Gottheimer last fall. She has raised $474,812 so far, with $144,461 cash-on-hand, and has secured the endorsement of progressive icon Bernie Sanders.
The poll, obtained and reviewed by the New Jersey Globe, was conducted by TargetSmart, a top Democratic polling firm, on June 17-18 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. The Gottheimer campaign paid for the poll.
Gottheimer, a Human Fundraising Machine who unseated a seven-term incumbent in 2016, has more than $8.4 million in his campaign warchest and the organization lines in Bergen, Passaic, Sussex and Warren counties.
Not including redistricting years when two incumbents were forced to compete against each other in primary elections – Bill Pascrell (D-Paterson) vs. Steve Rothman (D-Englewood) in 2012 and Dominick Daniels (D-Jersey City) vs. Cornelius Gallagher (D-Bayonne) in 1972, incumbent Members of Congress have had little trouble winning primary elections.
Primary challengers seeking to oust incumbent members of Congress have secured at least 33% of the vote just nine times over the last four decades.
Just two of the 117 of the people taking on members of New Jersey’s House delegation in primaries have faced over the 84 primary challenges held since 1980 came within striking distance of a sitting congressperson.
None of them have won.
The poll, obtained and reviewed by the New Jersey Globe, was conducted by TargetSmart, a top Democratic polling firm, on June 17-18 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.