Joe Biden has a sixteen-point lead over Donald Trump in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University Poll released this morning, but the race is a dead heat in the state’s battleground congressional districts.
Biden leads Trump by a 54%-38% margin in the race for New Jersey’s 14 electoral votes.
In competitive New Jersey congressional districts – the ones represented by Reps. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis), Andy Kim (D-Marlton), Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff), Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes) and Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair) – Trump and Biden are tied at 46% each.
Trump does best in South Jersey, where he leads Biden by a statistically insignificant 45%-44%. Biden leads in North Jersey (59%-34%) and Central Jersey (67%-37%).
Biden has had no trouble uniting New Jersey Democrats behind his candidacy. He is beating Trump 93%-3% among Democrats, with just 3% saying they would vote for a different candidate.
Similarly, Trump leads Biden among Republicans by a 92%-6% margin.
Among independents, Biden has a 51%-36% lead over Trump.
Biden has a narrow 48%-44% lead over Trump among men, and Biden leads among women by a 59%-033% margin.
Trump has a seven-point lead, among white New Jerseyans. Among people of color, Biden has a massive 70%-19% lead.
New Jersey has not supported a Republican presidential candidate since George Bush carried the state in 1988 against Democrat Michael Dukakis. Hillary Clinton carried the state by 546,345 votes, 55%-41%, over Trump in 2016.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted April 16-19 with a random sample of 604 adults and has a margin of error of +/- 3.9%. Party affiliation is self-described and does not necessarily reflect their voter registration, if any at all.MonmouthPoll_NJ_042320_Redacted