Democrat Cory Booker holds a huge lead in his bid for re-election to the U.S. Senate against the two leading Republican candidates, according to a Monmouth University poll released this morning.
Booker leads former U.S. Food and Drug Administration official Rik Mehta by a 55%-32% margin, and businessman Hirsh Singh by 58%-33% margin.
“The magnitude of the Democratic lead is not unusual when we don’t even have a Republican nominee yet. The race could tighten once voters start paying attention, but that won’t happen until the fall,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “Still, the fact that a clear majority support Booker’s reelection regardless of the opponent is good news for the incumbent.”
Booker, who announced his re-election bid in January after spending nearly one year seeking the Democratic nomination for president, has a 94%-3% lead among Democrats and is ahead among independents by a 54%-26% margin. This ballot tests combine Mehta and Singh.
Among Republicans, Mehta and Singh are leading Booker 84%-8%.
Booker leads 49%-42% in competitive New Jersey congressional districts – the ones represented by Reps. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis), Andy Kim (D-Marlton), Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff), Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes) and Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair). In safe districts, Booker has a 63%-25% lead.
The race is closest in South Jersey, where Singh comes from. Booker’s lead there is 47%-36%.
Booker leads 62%-28% in North Jersey, and 57%-38% in Central Jersey. He also leads 52%-36% among men, 60%-29% among women, and 71%-17% among New Jerseyans of color.
Among white New Jersey residents, Booker leads 46%-44%.
If Mehta or Singh win the nomination, it will become the first U.S. Senate race in New Jersey history between two non-white major party candidates.
Three other Republican candidates – Gene Anagnos, Tricia Flanagan, and Natalie Lynn Rivera – were not included in the poll. All three have raised less than $15,000 and have secured no organization lines for the July 7 GOP primary.
The Monmouth polling institute notes that U.S. Senator Bob Menendez opened up a 21-point lead at the same point two years ago and that his actual margin of victory was 11 points.
Still, Menendez set a record for the most votes ever cast for a Senate candidate in a mid-term election, after $40 million in negative ads were spent against him.
New Jersey has not elected a Republican U.S. Senator since 1972 and has not ousted an incumbent senator since 1942.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted April 16-19 with a random sample of 604 adults and has a margin of error of +/- 3.9%. Party affiliation is self-described and does not necessarily reflect their voter registration, if any at all.MonmouthPoll_NJ_042320_Redacted