Home>Highlight>Statewide vote-by-mail ballots up 99.7% over 2015; Democrats have huge VBM edge in 21st district

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Statewide vote-by-mail ballots up 99.7% over 2015; Democrats have huge VBM edge in 21st district

Mail-in ballots in 1st district race about dead even

By David Wildstein, November 02 2019 3:45 pm

New Jerseyans have cast 227,870 vote-by-mail ballots so far in the 2019 mid-term elections – a 99.7% increase over 2015, as of the close of business on Friday.

County Clerks mailed 568,959 VBM ballots for the general election with more than 40% of mail-in ballots cast so far.  Four years ago, the total statewide turnout was just 22%.

Mail-in ballots postmarked by November 5 will be counted if they arrive at county Board of Election offices by close of business on November 7.

In the 21st district, where incumbents Jon Bramnick (R-Westfield) and Nancy Munoz (R-Summit) face Democrats Lisa Mandelblatt and Stacey Gunderman, 41.8% of all vote-by-mail ballots have been returned.

Of VBMs already cast, Democrats have a 14-point edge, 47.5%-33.3%, with 1,198 more Democrats voting by mail than Republicans in a district where Democrats have a 31%-38% voter registration edge.

Other key districts:

* 1st District: Returned VBM are almost evenly split between Democrats and Republicans, with just 29 more mail-in ballots returned from Democrats than Republicans.  The GOP has a 30.5%-28.4% edge in registration.  An extraordinary 59.3% of VBM ballots have already been returned.

* 8th District: Democrats have a slight edge in returned mail-in ballots, 44.3% to 41.3% for Republicans.  More than half (51.9%) of VBM ballots have been returned.  Democrats have a 39%-32% voter registration edge.

* 25th District: A total of 39.3% of all mailed VBM ballots have been returned, with Democrats maintaining an advantage of nearly seven percentage points – 44.8%-38.2%.

* 39th District: VBMs are close, with just 158 more ballots cast by Democrats, 40.3%-37.5%, with 36.9% of all ballots back already returned.

NJGLOBE VBM 11-02-2019
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