21st district Democrats hold big lead on returned mail-in ballots

Democrats are maintaining a fourteen-point advantage in vote-by-mail ballots in the 21st district, where incumbents Jon Bramnick and Nancy Munoz are battling to keep their seats against Democrats Lisa Mandelblatt and Stacey Gunderman.

Since yesterday, 641 new VBM ballots have been cast in what is likely New Jersey’s most closely watched Assembly race, bringing the total to 8,031. In total, 39.8% of the 20,176 mailed ballots have already been returned.

Of the returned ballots, 47.7% are from Democrats, 33.4% from Republicans, and 18.8% from Unaffiliated voters commonly referred to as Independents.  The party breakdown is virtually the same as yesterday.

Of the remaining 12,145 VBM ballots that have not yet been returned – 38.2% of the outstanding mail-in ballots are sitting the homes of Democrats, while 22.4% belong to Republicans and 39.2% with those unaffiliated with either party.

Vote-by-mail ballots must be mailed by 8 PM on November 5 and arrive at the Board of Elections by close of business on November 7.