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State Sen. Bob Andrzejczak

Andrzejczak unworried over early VBM returns

Dems, GOP close to even in early votes

By Nikita Biryukov, October 24 2019 2:21 pm

State Sen. Bob Andrzejczak isn’t worried about Republicans’ slight vote-by-mail ballot lead in the first legislative district.

“Not a point of concern at all right now,” Andrzejczak said. “It’s actually coming back in our favor. Typically, you would have higher Republican numbers coming back out of our district, but if we’re dead-even now, that basically means we’re sitting where we hope to be.”

Of the 5,915 VBM ballots cast in the first district so far, 2,553 (43%) came from Democrats and 2,469 (42%) from Republicans.

That likely puts Democrats up slightly in the vote tally 12 days out from election day, as the party accounts for 38.4% of all vote-by-mail ballots requested while Republicans account for 36.2% of the same.

Thought independents account for the largest share (39.6%) of voters in the first legislative district, they account for just more than a quarter (25.1%) of voters who requested a mail-in ballot.

In New Jersey, Democrats typically put a greater share of their organizational power behind securing early votes than Republicans do, especially in the portions of South Jersey under the domain of Democratic powerbroker George Norcross, the force behind Camden County’s staggering vote-by-mail turnout in this year’s primaries.

It’s not clear how far that strategy has bled into the first district race, but Democrats there have yet to pull away form their opponents the way challengers in the 21st and 25th districts have.

Still, Andrzejczak feels good about his and his running mates’ re-election prospects.

“Less than two weeks out, we’re still working hard. We just had the Stockton poll come in today. They have our team up by quite a bit,” Andrzejczak said. “They have me up 14 points, which is pretty significant, but polling isn’t everything, and we’re still going to be out there working just as hard as we were yesterday.”

The Stockton poll put Andrzejczak leading Cumberland County Republican Chairman Michael Testa 53%-39%.

It found Andrzejczak’s running mates, Assemblymen Bruce Land and Matt Milam, held narrower leads over Testa’s Assembly candidates, Ocean City Councilman Antwan McClellan and Lower Township Mayor Erik Simonsen.

Land won 27%, Milam 26% and the two Republicans each won 22%.

“We only have a few more days left, and we’re going to keep getting our message out there, and we’re going to keep chipping away and making sure that our constituents know that we’re here for them,” Andrzejczak said. “We’re going to continue to work hard.”

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