Home>Campaigns>Poll gives Kim six-point lead in NJ-3

Rep. Andy Kim. (Photo: Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe).

Poll gives Kim six-point lead in NJ-3

Biden has 43-55% approval rating in district he easily carried in 2020

By Joey Fox, August 11 2022 12:04 pm

A new poll released by RMG Research on behalf of U.S. Term Limits finds Rep. Andy Kim (D-Moorestown) leading Republican Bob Healey among likely voters by a six-point margin, 44-38%, in the contest for New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district.

The poll, which was conducted in late July, also found President Joe Biden’s approval rating underwater 43-55% in a district he would have carried by 14 points two years ago.

U.S. Term Limits is, as the name suggests, a single-issue group dedicated to placing term limits on members of Congress. The 3rd district poll is one of several district-level polls the group has released in recent days with the intention of showing the electoral benefits of supporting term limits.

National Republicans quickly pounced on Biden’s low approval ratings as a sign that Kim is in danger of losing this November.

“There is no daylight between Joe Biden and Andy Kim when it comes to their support for reckless liberal policies that have failed NJ-03 voters,” National Republican Congressional Committee spokeswoman Samantha Bullock said in a statement.

Kim was first elected to Congress in 2018, narrowly ousting Rep. Tom MacArthur (R-Toms River) 50-49%, and he retained his seat 53-46% in 2020. Those victories were both in the previous version of the 3rd congressional district, which included heavily Republican parts of Ocean County; the new map drawn by Democrats made the district dramatically bluer and boosted Kim’s re-election chances.

Still, Republicans are optimistic that Healey, the second-generation chairman of Viking Yacht Company, can make the race competitive. Thanks to a significant amount of self-funding, Healey had $1.5 million cash-on-hand as of July 15, while Kim had $4.4 million.

Most election prognosticators list the seat as “likely Democratic,” meaning that Kim is the favorite but not a prohibitive one. The poll from RMG, which is graded B- by FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings, is so far the only publicly released poll of the district.

The RMG Research poll was conducted from July 22-29 with a sample of 400 likely voters and a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

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