Home>Highlight>Iowa Poll: Warren now leads Biden, Booker in 6th with 3%

U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts). Photo by Gage Skidmore.

Iowa Poll: Warren now leads Biden, Booker in 6th with 3%

63% of likely Democratic caucusgoers can still be convinced to change their minds

By David Wildstein, September 21 2019 8:31 pm

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Elizabeth Warren now has the lead in Iowa, a new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

Warren is two points ahead of Joe Biden, 22%-20%, with Bernie Sanders in third place with 11% in their bids for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Cory Booker and Amy Klobuchar are tied for sixth place with 3% each, trailing Pete Buttigieg (9%) and Kamala Harris (6%).  Four other candidates are at 2%: Tulsi Gabbard, Beto O’Rourke, Tom Steyer and Andrew Yang.

The good news for Booker is that most voters are not irrevocably committed to a first choice.

Iowa is still up in the air, with just one in five likely caucusgoers saying they have made up their minds and 63% suggested that they could be convinced to back someone else.

The Iowa caucus is set for February 3.

“The data in this poll seem to suggest the field is narrowing, but my sense is there’s still opportunity aplenty,” pollster J. Ann Selzer said. “The leaders aren’t all that strong. The universe is not locked in.”

The Iowa Poll has long been the gold standard of polling likely participants in the Iowa presidential caucus.

“This is the first major shakeup” in what had been a fairly steady race, said Selzer.  “It’s the first time we’ve had someone other than Joe Biden at the top of the leader board.”

An Iowa Poll conducted in June showed Biden leading Sanders, 24%-16%.  Warren was in third place with 15%, followed by Buttigieg (14%).  Booker was tied in 8th place with 1%, along with seven other candidates.

Booker was in Iowa yesterday and today, marking his 10th trip as a candidate

Earlier today, Booker campaign manager Addisu Demissie signaled a possible withdrawal from the race.

Demissie told supporters that there is no real path to the nomination if the campaign doesn’t raise $1.7 million by the end of this month, signaling a possible withdrawal from the race.

The poll surveyed 602 likely Democratic caucusgoers between September 14-18 and has a margin of error of +/-4%.

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