Assemblyman Vince Mazzeo (D-Northfield) leads State Sen.-elect Vince Polistina (R-Egg Harbor) by seven points, 48-41%, according to a new Stockton University poll released today.
The race between Mazzeo and Polistina is considered among the state’s most competitive, and has witnessed the highest level of spending thus far of any district in the state. Each of the district’s three seats has been held by both Democrats and Republicans at different points this decade.
Stockton also polled the district’s Assembly race, finding a dead heat among the four candidates. Democratic Atlantic County Commissioner Caren Fitzpatrick leads with 24%; tied at 23% are incumbent Democratic Assemblyman John Armato (D-Buena Vista) and Republican Claire Swift; and in the rear with 22% is former Atlantic City Mayor Don Guardian, a Republican.
In the governor’s race, Stockton found Gov. Phil Murphy leading Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli by a relatively narrow 50-45% margin. That represents a clear drop from 2017, when Murphy won the district by more than 15 points.
On key issues, however, respondents were with Murphy. Respondents backed mask mandates 59-35% and vaccine mandates 52-44%, contrary to Ciattarelli’s insistence that the state should not be implementing medical mandates.
“If Murphy’s and Mazzeo’s numbers hold up, the question is whether that would be enough to help the Democratic Assembly candidates across the line,” John Froonjian, executive director of the Hughes Center, said in a statement attached to the polling release. “The 2nd is a true swing district, and voters there have sent legislative delegations with members of both parties to Trenton before.”
The Stockton poll was conducted between October 9-24, with a sample of 401 likely voters and a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.