Home>Campaigns>Lakewood, Jersey City, Newark districts need to peel some population

Governor Chris Christie addresses a Joint Special Session of the New Jersey Legislature to call for bipartisanship and cooperation to cap property taxes in the Assembly Chambers at the Statehouse in Trenton, N.J. on Thursday, July 1, 2010. (Governor's Office/Tim Larsen)

Lakewood, Jersey City, Newark districts need to peel some population

U.S. Census data shows adjustments necessary for legislative redistricting

By David Wildstein, August 12 2021 7:28 pm

Eighteen of New Jersey’s 40 legislative districts will need to shed population to hit the ideal population for redistricting, although just six of them are more than 10,000 people beyond the permissible 5% deviation.

At the same time, 12 districts will need to shed around 7,500 people when the new districts are drawn for the 2023 general election.

While many districts are close to being within a +/- 5% deviation, too many districts on the same side of that number will make a 40-district map mathematically unsustainable.

The population explosion in Lakewood has put the 30th district (Singer-Kean-Thomson) is 37,724 people above the standard district size of 232,225.   And significant growth in Jersey City has put the 31st (Cunningham-McKnight-Chiaravalloti) at 28,409 people more than it ideally should be.

Two Essex-based districts need to drop some people: the 28th (Rice-Caputo-Tucker) is 20,517 over, and the 29th (Ruiz-Pintor Marin-Speight) has 17,030 more people than it should.

In Hudson County, the 33rd (Stack-Mukherji-Chaparro) is over by 17,481, while the 32nd (Sacco-Jimenez-Mejia) is 11,650 over.  But District 32 is within 39 people of the 5% deviation,

The 20th (Cryan-Quijano-Holley) must reduce its population by 9,952, and the 19th (Vitale-Coughlin-Lopez) by 6,932.  In the Passaic-based 35th (Pou-Sumter-Wimberly), the population may need to drop by 5,935.  Still, all three of these districts could potentially remain exactly the same and still be within the 5% deviation.

Except for the 30th in Ocean and Monmouth, the other eight districts are held by Democrats.

Two of the most competitive districts in the state need to pick up people, and reductions in population create some apportionment challenges for South Jersey.

The Atlantic County-based 2nd district (Polistina-Mazzeo-Armato) is 16,069 people below where it should be.  The Burlington-based 8th (Addiego-Peters-Stanfield) needs to go up by 10,385.

In the 1st district (Testa-McClellan-Simonsen), where Republicans flipped three seats in 2019, is 16,101 people short of a perfectly-sized district.

The solidly-Democratic 5th (Cruz Perez-Spearman-Moen) needs to add 10,613.

Four western New Jersey districts – all held by Republicans – need to pick up more population.

The Sussex-based 24th district (Oroho-Space-Wirths) needs to gain the most number people in the next round of redistricting.  U.S. Census data released on Thursday puts the district’s new population at 210,381 – 21,844 people less than the ideal size of a legislative district.

The next-door 23rd district (Doherty-Peterson-DiMaio) is 9,994 people under where it should be, but not far off if a 5% deviation is used.

The two districts based in Morris County also need to add people.  The 25th (Bucco-Dunn-Bergen) has to gain 11,182 and the 26th (Pennacchio-Webber-DeCroce) should add 6,641.  But both of those districts are not far off from being close to 5% of the perfectly-sized districts.  The 21st (Kean-Bramnick-Munoz), which includes parts of Union, Somerset and Morris counties, need to increase its numbers by 7,679.

Two Republican seats that touch Bergen County need more people.  The 39th (Schepisi-Auth-DeFuccio) is 14,231 short, and the 40th (Corrado-DePhillips-Rooney) is 13,872 under where it should be.

Only the Bergen-based 37th (Weinberg-Johnson-Vainieri Huttle) is at near-perfect size: it’s just 240 people more than 232,225.

Senate President Steve Sweeney’s 3rd district is not far off from the ideal population – just 1,013 people short.

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