Home>Campaigns>Internal Baraka poll finds most Democrats undecided in gubernatorial race

Former State Senate President Steve Sweeney, Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop, NJEA President Sean Spiller, and Rep. Mikie Sherrill at the Democratic gubernatorial primary debate on February 2, 2025. (Photo: Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe).

Internal Baraka poll finds most Democrats undecided in gubernatorial race

The snapshot shows the race is anybody’s ballgame

By Zach Blackburn, February 13 2025 11:55 am

An internal poll from Newark Mayor Ras Baraka’s gubernatorial campaign shows the mayor second among Democratic candidates, though a majority of the party’s primary voters were still undecided.

About 52% of likely Democratic primary voters said they were undecided on who to support in the June 10 primary. Among the six candidates, Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair) led with 15.8%, while Baraka was behind her at 10.1%.

New Jersey Education Association President Sean Spiller came third with 9.6%, Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop received 5%, Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-Tenafly) received 4.7%, and former Senate President Steve Sweeney received 2.7%.

The poll, conducted via text message Monday, has a margin of error of +/- 3%. MDW Communications, a Democratic political consulting firm, polled 789 likely primary voters.  The New Jersey Globe reviewed the full survey.

Sherrill’s favorability ratings sat at 39% approval and 8% disapproval. For Baraka, 40%-8%; for Spiller, 30%-12%; for Fulop, 27%-10%; and for Gottheimer, 22%-12%. Sweeney was the only candidate underwater, with 17% approval and 26% disapproval.

The poll found the Democrats were least likely to recognize Fulop—40% of the respondents said they hadn’t heard of the mayor. About 37% said they haven’t heard of Gottheimer, 33% haven’t heard of Sherrill, 28% haven’t heard of Baraka, and 27% haven’t heard of Spiller or Sweeney.

The poll found junior Senator Andy Kim received similar approval ratings among Democrats as Senator Cory Booker and Gov. Phil Murphy. Kim was at 74% approval and 6% disapproval, Booker sat at 79%-11%, and Murphy was at 74%-13%.

The survey is the latest in a flurry of polls in the governor’s race, most of which show a majority of Democrats as undecided.

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