The increasingly dirty and exorbitantly expensive campaign for New Jersey’s United States Senate seat between incumbent Bob Menendez and Bob Hugin has produced polling numbers from Monmouth University, now the gold-standard of independent polls in New Jersey, that are not much different that previous races that more civil and less costly.
The Monmouth poll released this morning has Menendez, ahead 49%-40% among likely voters over Hugin.
Hugin is polling about the same as other recent Republican U.S. Senate candidates, all in Monmouth University polls of likely voters:
* October 6, 2014: Cory Booker leading Jeff Bell 53%-38%.
* October 1, 2013: Booker leading Steve Lonegan 53%-40%, fifteen days before the special election to replace Frank Lautenberg.
* September 25, 2012: Menendez leading Joe Kyrillos 49%-34%.
* October 23, 2008: Lautenberg leading Dick Zimmer 52%-36%.
* October 22, 2006: Menendez leading Tom Kean, Jr. 48%-39%.
Democrats have not lost a U.S. Senate race in New Jersey since 1972; only Hawaii (1970) has gone longer without a Republican U.S. Senate win. There are 920,000 more Democrats in New Jersey than Republicans.