Home>Campaigns>Sabato/UVA doesn’t touch N.J. in new round of House ratings changes

Democratic members of the New Jersey House delegation in Washington D.C. in January 2019. Rep. Jeff Van Drew was a Democrat at the time.

Sabato/UVA doesn’t touch N.J. in new round of House ratings changes

By David Wildstein, September 03 2020 9:03 am

New Jersey remain unchanged in new ratings for House races published this morning by Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

The Sabato/UVA group is one of the top non-partisan handicappers of elections in the U.S. – think of them as the Standard & Poor’s of political campaign ratings.

They have Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis) as Leans Republican, and Reps. Andy Kim (D-Moorestown) and Tom Malinowski (D-Ringoes) as Leans Democratic.  All three are freshmen congressmen elected in 2018.

The rest of the New Jersey delegation, including freshman Mikie Sherill (D-Montclair) and sophomore Josh Gottheimer (D-Wyckoff) are viewed as safe. Both come from districts that Donald Trump carried in 2016.

Sabato/UVA has the U.S. Senate race, where incumbent Cory Booker is seeking re-election, as Safe Democratic.

Van Drew faces Democrat Amy Kennedy, a member of one of America’s most prominent political families. Kim is being challenged by GOP businessman David Richter, and Malinowski’s opponent is Thomas Kean, Jr., the minority leader of the New Jersey State Senate.

Fourteen House races saw their Sabato/UVA ratings changed today.

New Jersey has not had a rating shift from Sabato/UVA since Kim was moved from Toss Up to Leans Democratic on April 23.

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