Former President Donald Trump leads Florida Gov Ron DeSantis by 38%-17% margin in a Neighborhood Research Iowa Caucus poll as the first choice of Iowa Republicans for the 2024 presidential nomination.
But Trump’s 21-point lead in Iowa represent a substantial drop from a November 2021 poll, when he led DeSantis by 44 points, 56%-12%. Trump widely circulated that poll in an email.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie barely registered in the poll. He’s at less than one-half of one-percent (0.2%), just slightly better than his 0% standing seven months ago.
“As of today, this is a contest between a fading Donald Trump and a rising Ron DeSantis,” said pollster Rick Shaftan, a veteran New Jersey conservative operative who now lives in North Carolina. “Chris Christie received one vote out of 546 surveys.”
Former Vice President Mike Pence and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley were each at 2%. U.S. Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio each polled 1%, as did Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds. 36% are undecided.
Christie received just 1.76% in the 2016 Iowa Caucus, a 10th place finish. He never caught on in Iowa despite extensive campaigning there; a January 2016 Monmouth University poll put Christie at 2%. Eventually, he announced that he was shifting is efforts to New Hampshire but dropped out of the race after placing sixth with just 7.38% of the vote.
The live operator survey of 546 Iowa Republicans was conducted by Neighborhood Research on behalf of Courageous Conservatives PAC and other groups between June 22 and July 1 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.2%. Respondents were asked an open-ended question of their first, second and third choices in the next presidential election, without any names offered.