A New Jersey poll on the race of for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination will be released tomorrow by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in what is expected to be the first real test of Cory Booker’s real voter strength in his home state.
The Monmouth Poll also asked New Jerseyans if they believe Booker should run for re-election to the U.S. Senate if he wins the presidential nomination. Gov. Phil Murphy signed a bill passed by the Democratic-controlled legislature last year that would allow Booker to run for both offices simultaneously.
The poll will also include whether New Jerseyans think Booker would make a good president, as well as job approval ratings for Booker and U.S. Senator Bob Menendez. Menendez, re-elected last year by an 11-point margin, is not up for re-election for five years.
Booker has swept the endorsement game in New Jersey, with public support from Murphy, Menendez, Senate President Steve Sweeney, Assembly Speaker Craig Coughlin, and all 21 Democratic County Chairs.
The poll will offer a glimpse of whether Booker, a U.S. Senator since 2013 and a former Newark mayor, is the first choice of rank-and-file New Jersey Democrats in the presidential race.
The New Jersey primary will be held on June 2, 2020.
A May 2016 Monmouth Poll showed Hillary Clinton with a 60%-32% lead over Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic voters in the June New Jersey primary. Clinton won New Jersey by a 63%-37% margin over Sanders.
In the same poll, New Jersey Democrats were ambivalent toward Clinton picking Booker as her running mate. A third of Democrats (33%) said Booker running for Vice President would help Clinton, while 10% thought it would hurt her. Nearly half (48%) of New Jersey Democrats said it wouldn’t matter if Booker was on the ticket.
An August Change Research poll had Booker in sixth place in New Jersey with 5% among Democrats, but the poll is rated as a C+ pollster by FiveThirtyEight, an independent political analytics site that grades pollsters. The Monmouth Poll was given an A+ grade and is considered the gold standard of polling voter attitudes in New Jersey.
Joe Biden leading in New Jersey with 26%, followed by Elizabeth Warren (23%) and Sanders (21%). Pete Buttigieg (12%) and Kamala Harris (8%) were also ahead of Booker in his home state. Beto O’Rourke was in seventh place with 2%.