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Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. (Photo: NJ Globe file photo).

Monmouth poll gets top marks from 538

By Nikita Biryukov, May 26 2020 1:07 pm

The Monmouth University Polling Institute received its fourth consecutive A+ rating from FiveThirtyEight Tuesday.

“Our job has never been to ‘predict’ electoral outcomes, but to further our understanding of the dynamics driving each election as it progresses,” Monmouth poll director Patrick Murray said. “It is rewarding for our team to be recognized for doing this as accurately as possible.”

Monmouth received the same grade in 2016, 2018 and 2019. The rankings were not updated in 2017.

According to FiveThirtyEight, the poll also boasted the lowest average error among those that released at least five primary polls.

Other New Jersey pollsters faired well in the rankings.

Polls at both Fairleigh Dickinson University and Stockton University received a provisional A/B rating, which indicates strong initial results.

The Rutgers-Eagleton poll received a provisional B/C rating, which indicates roughly average early results.

“This recognition is a great honor and a testament to the commitment of the Monmouth University Polling Institute team to conduct academically rigorous public opinion research,” said Monmouth University President Patrick Leahy. “We are extremely proud to remain among the most accurate polling operations nationwide.”

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