Despite President Joe Biden’s job approval ratings upside-down in New Jersey, a majority of the state wants to see Democrats keep control of Congress.
A new Monmouth University Poll released on Thursday, 43% of the state want a Democratic Congress while 34% favor Republicans to flip control of the Senate and House.
Among independents in New Jersey, preference for partisan control of Congress is evenly split at 29%. With leaners added, the number goes to a statistical tie: 43% for Democrats and 42% for Republicans.
The Monmouth poll does not separate data by congressional district.
A national Monmouth poll conducted in March showed a divided result: 46% of Americans wanted Democratic control and 45% wanted Republican control.
An April 2020 Monmouth poll of New Jerseyans gave control of Congress to the Democrats by a 50%-38% margin. In 2017, it was at 54%-35% for a Democratic Congress.
“It’s important to keep in mind that we are measuring leadership preference rather than vote intention with this question,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “ Still, these results suggest that we could see a similar turnout pattern to two years ago. That means there should be some close House races, depending on how the president is doing in the fall and the impact of redistricting.”
New Jersey has no U.S. Senate seats up in 2022, but several Democratic House members face potentially tough re-election campaigns.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted from March 31 to April 4, 2022 with a sample size of 802 New Jersey adults and a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.