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Rep. Andy Kim. (Photo: Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe)

Cook Political Report moves NJ-3 to leans Democrat

Race rater sees Kim’s fortunes rise as Richter stays off the airwaves

By Nikita Biryukov, September 29 2020 11:15 am

Rep. Andy Kim (D-Marlton). (Photo: Kevin Sanders for the New Jersey Globe)

The Cook Political Report upgraded its race rating for the third congressional district Tuesday, saying Rep. Andy Kim (D-Marlton) was favored to win reelection over Republican challenger David Richter.

The non-partisan race rater said the third congressional district’s race leaned toward a Democratic victory.

The site previously said the race was a toss up.

“Kim has been polling ahead for most of the year, for pretty much all of the year so far,” Cook House Editor Dave Wasserman said. “The question was whether Richter would spend sufficiently to get himself in the game, and so far, Richter has not followed through on what Republicans hoped he would spend. And it’s getting pretty late to close that gap.”

Richter pledged to put $1 million of his own money behind his congressional bid. As of the end of June, the former Hill International CEO had loaned his campaign $600,000, though most of that money was spent in a bruising primary against former Burlington County Freeholder Director Kate Gibbs.

It’s not clear how well Richter has raised funds since winning the party nod in July — the next Federal Election Commission Reporting Period ends Wednesday, meaning those figures won’t be available until mid-October — he went into the third quarter of 2020 with just $123,173 banked.

By contrast, Kim had just over $3.5 million banked at the end of June and raised another million dollars in the first 62 days of the third quarter.

The new rating is in line with what other raters have said about the race. Sabato’s Crystal Ball also says the district favors the Democratic incumbent, though not overwhelmingly so.

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