Republicans have widened their Election Day turnout advantage in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, but Democrats continue to hold a narrow overall lead among voters who have cast ballots as Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-Dennis) faces Democrat Zach Mullock.
An updated analysis by Umichvoter shows that 37,107 Republicans have voted on Election Day, compared with 28,794 Democrats and 19,906 unaffiliated voters.
Republicans account for 43% of Election Day turnout, compared with 34% for Democrats and 23% for unaffiliated voters, giving the GOP an 8,313-vote advantage.
But Democrats entered Election Day with a substantial advantage in advance voting, and Republicans have not yet erased it.
Of the 196,138 ballots cast so far, 80,774 came from registered Democrats, 75,190 from Republicans, and 40,174 from unaffiliated voters.
That leaves Democrats with a 5,584-vote advantage among voters who have already participated, down from 7,471 earlier in the afternoon.
New figures from Cape May County, obtained by the New Jersey Globe, show 20,097 registered Republicans, 12,361 Democrats, and 7,317 unaffiliated voters. Those figures underscore the Republican registration advantage in a county where the districtwide analysis has not yet included Election Day turnout.
Republicans are running particularly strong in the Ocean County portion of the district, where they account for 53% of Election Day voters, compared with just 22% for Democrats. The GOP has a 5,819-vote advantage there, with 9,853 Republicans voting compared with 4,034 Democrats.
Republicans are also outvoting Democrats in Atlantic County, 16,030 to 14,303; Gloucester County, 5,642 to 5,019; and Cumberland County, 5,582 to 5,438.
The remaining pool of potential voters includes 126,567 Republicans, 97,538 Democrats, and 176,379 unaffiliated voters.
That gives Republicans a 29,029-voter advantage among registered partisans who have not yet cast ballots.
The figures remain incomplete. Cape May and Salem counties have not yet reported meaningful Election Day turnout numbers to Umichvoter, while the latest available figures for the other four counties are from 4 p.m.
The numbers reflect party registration, not votes for individual candidates, and do not establish which candidate is ahead.
