Home>Campaigns>More than 52,000 votes still uncounted in NJ-7 congressional race

Rep. Tom Malinowski, left, and Senate Minority Leader Tom Kean, Jr. (New Jersey Globe.)

More than 52,000 votes still uncounted in NJ-7 congressional race

Malinowski leads by 9,708 with 88% of vote in

By David Wildstein, November 12 2020 9:24 am

There are no less than 52,157 uncounted ballots in New Jersey’s 7th district, where a congressional race between Tom Malinowski and Tom Kean has tightened considerably since election night, according to an analysis by the New Jersey Globe.

Malinowski, a freshman Democrat who ousted a five-term incumbent in 2018, has seen his lead drop from 28,412 on November 3 to 9,708 on November 10.

It appears that at least 12% of the votes have not yet been counted.

Both parties acknowledge that this number could be higher. The lack of clarity by local election officials as to the exact number of uncounted ballots 9 days after the election is concerning.

But the number could also experience a sudden drop, if a significant number of vote-by-mail voters who tracked their own ballots online also voted provisionally after being unable to verify that election officials had received their ballots.

County election boards will scan all mail-in ballots first and then check provisionals against those who have already voted.

Turnout numbers in the 7th look extraordinarily high. The current turnout is at 64.8% (that number is based on registered voters, not eligible, so the turnout percentage would be greater), but an additional 52,157 would bump turnout to 73.6%.

There are about 17,220 uncounted ballots in Morris, 15,685 in Union, 13,954 in Somerset, 4,800 in Hunterdon and 500 in Essex.  The number in Warren is indeterminate.

It’s also not clear which towns are outstanding.  Some counties are counting chronologically, but not necessarily entirely so.

If the 52,157 were to be an exact number, which it is not, Kean, the State Senate Minority Leader, would need to win about 60% of the uncounted ballots to emerge as the winner.

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