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Jersey City Mayor Frank Hague votes by machine in the 1930s. (Photo: David Wildstein Collection.)

More than 80% of early N.J. voters are white

TargetSmart analysis shows communities of color haven’t bought into vote-by-mail, early voting

By David Wildstein, October 26 2021 3:07 pm

Over 81% of votes already cast in the New Jersey general election have been cast by white voters, according to analysis of nearly 400,000 votes already cast by TargetSmart.

According to the analysis, 6.1% of voters who have either voted by mail or at an early voting site, are Black, 4.4% are Asian, and 4.1% are Hispanic.

Nearly eight-in-ten votes already cast (78.7%) are from voters over age 50.  Of those, 27.8% are between ages 65 and 74, and 24.8% from voters over age 75.

Women are outpacing men, 56%-42%, the analysis shows.

Democrats have a 64%-21% edge in early and mail-in votes.

According to the 2020 U.S. Census, New Jersey is 68% white.

These statewide patterns are similar in some of the state’s most hotly-contested legislative districts.

In the Atlantic County-based 2nd district, registered Democrats represent 65% of early votes, with 23% coming from Republicans and 12% from unaffiliated voters.

In the 8th district, where State Sen. Dawn Addiego (D-Evesham) faces Assemblywoman Jean Stanfield (R-Westampton), Democrats have a 59.8%-26.5% edge over Republicans.

Democrats have a 51%-31% edge in early votes in the Central Jersey-based 16th district, where Democrats are looking to flip a Senate seat the Republicans have held since 1903.

In Hudson County, a Democratic stronghold that has the highest percentage of Hispanic residents in the state, white turnout is at 52.6%, while Hispanic turnout is at 27.6%.  The 2020 census put Hudson’s Hispanic population at 40.4%, with the white population at 28.5%.

The TargetSmart data does not include in-person early voting on Monday.

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