New Jerseyans have cast 339,396 votes in advance of the November 7 general election, including 326,128 vote-by-mail ballots and 13,268 in-person early votes, according to an analysis by Ryan Dubicki, an election researcher for the Associated Press.
That brings New Jersey’s voter turnout for next week’s off-off-year election to 5.24%.
Nearly two-thirds of all votes cast so far are from Democrats (65%), while 22% of the electorate are Republicans and 13% are unaffiliated voters.
Democrats and Republicans are dead even at their rate of return of mail-in ballots (40%), but Democrats statewide have returned 144,815 more ballots than Republicans after 357,796 more Democrats than Republicans requested VBM ballots.
In key legislative districts, Democrats have a significant edge in advance votes:
District 2: Democrats + 3,320
District 3: Democrats + 5,803
District 4: Democrats + 7,972
District 8: Democrats + 3,834
District 11: Democrats + 4,550
District 14: Democrats + 6,815
District 16: Democrats + 5,768
District 30: Republicans +319
District 38: Democrats + 3,413
In the heavily Republican 30th district, where a prominent Rabbi, Avi Schnall, is trying to wrestle one Assembly seat as a Democrat, the only path to victory is to win over GOP voters in Lakewood.
Statewide, Democrats have an advantage of +147,170.
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