Six separate polls were released on Thursday, giving Democrat Mikie Sherrill an average lead of 6% in her race against Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the close New Jersey governor’s race.
Sherrill, a four-term congresswoman from Montclair, is ahead in all six polls and at 50% or more in four of the six:
* An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill poll shows Sherrill and Ciattarelli in a statistical dead heat, with Sherrill leading, 49%-48%. |
* A Suffolk University poll has Sherrill up by four points, 46%-42%, within the margin of error.
* A Quinnipiac University poll shows Sherrill ahead by eight points, 51%-43%. Ciattarelli’s pollster, Adam Geller, disputed the Quinnipiac results, arguing the poll used random digit dial and not a voter list.
* A Fox News poll conducted by Beacon Research/Shaw & Company gives Sherrill a seven-point lead against Ciattarelli, 52%-45%.
* A YouGov online poll provides Sherrill with her largest margin, ten points, with a 54%-44% lead over Ciattarelli. But this poll was in the field from October 17-28, making some of the data two weeks old.
* A poll conducted for Red Eagle Politics, a Republican group, by SoCal Strategies puts Sherrill ahead by seven points, 52%-45%. The same poll shows California Gov. Gavin Newsom in a dead heat, 43%-42%, among New Jersey voters against Vice President J.D. Vance in a 2028 general election matchup.