Bernie Sanders holds a four-point lead over Pete Buttigieg in next week’s New Hampshire Democratic primary, according to a new Monmouth University poll of likely primary voters released this afternoon.
Sanders leads 24%-20%, with Joe Biden at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 13%, and Amy Klobuchar at 9%.
“Many voters in New Hampshire remain open to switching their support,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. “The muddle out of Iowa hasn’t narrowed the field, but there are some hints in the poll that Buttigieg could be helped and Biden hurt as the caucus results start to sink in.”
The primary will come two days after Hunterdon County Democrats old the first-in-the-state convention to award an organization line in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Buttigieg was in New Jersey on Wednesday for a fundraiser at a private home in Summit. The event netted him about $75,000, sources said.
With 97% of the votes counted, Buttigieg holds a 26.2%-26.1% lead over Sanders in Monday’s Iowa Caucus.
“Confidence is contagious, and voters want to go with a winner. This race remains fluid because voters are looking for the strongest candidate to take on Donald Trump,” Murray said. “One question to ask is whether Biden supporters will start to have second thoughts. This might not happen until the final days, because the Iowa results were still trickling in as we wrapped up the poll.”
According to Murray, a New Jerseyan who has emerged as one of the nation’s top political pollsters, “Sanders voters hone in on his policy platform as the decisive factor in their support.”
“Biden voters are focused almost exclusively on beating Trump. Buttigieg seems to have an appeal for both types of voters, Murray explained. “This may help him in the final days of this contest, especially if New Hampshire Democrats perceive the field to be narrowing.”
The Monmouth poll was conducted from February 3-5 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%.