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President Joe Biden. (Photo: The White House.)

Biden approvals in N.J. at 55% in new Monmouth poll

In New Jersey, party in the White House historically loses gubernatorial race

By David Wildstein, May 05 2021 1:00 pm

President Joe Biden has a job approval rating of 55%-39% in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University poll released on Wednesday.

Among registered voters, Biden is at 55%-40%.

Biden has approvals of 93% among Democrats, but he’s upside-down among independents (42%-49%) and Republicans (13%-81%).  In South Jersey, Biden’s approvals are at 44%-48%.

He’s also upside down among white adults (45%-50%), but he’s at 60%-24% among Blacks, Hispanic and Asian New Jerseyans.

A Stockton University poll released in March had Biden’s job approvals at 53%-37%.

A July 2017 Monmouth poll had President Donald Trump upside-down in New Jersey, 45%-58%.

The last Democratic president, Barak Obama, had a 67%-27% approval rating in New Jersey four months into his presidency, according to a May 2009 Quinnipiac University poll.

New Jerseyans had George W. Bush’s approvals upside-down in May 2005, 45%-41%, the Quinnipiac poll showed.  In May 2001, his first year as president, Bush’s approvals in the Garden State were a 57%-35%, according to Quinnipiac.

There is some historical correlation between New Jersey gubernatorial elections and the party in control of the White House.

It’s been 40 years since a new president saw a member of his own political party with the governorship, and the last two Democratic governors to seek re-election lost after a new Democratic president was elected.

Jon Corzine was defeated one year after Obama won the White House and Jim Florio lost in 1993 following Bill Clinton ousting George H.W. Bush.

Murphy followed Trump, James E. McGreevey followed Bush 43, and Florio followed Bush 41.

After Ronald Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter in 1980, Republican Thomas Kean was elected governor.  Before that, the record was mixed: Dwight Eisenhower in 1952 was followed by Democrat Robert Meyner in 1953; one year after John F. Kennedy won in 1960, Democrat Richard Hughes was elected governor; and Richard Nixon’s 1968 victory preceded the election of a GOP governor in 1969, William Cahill.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted from April 29 to May 4 with a sample size of 706 adults and has a margin of error of +/- 3.7%.

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