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Rep. Jeff Van Drew.

Van Drew has big lead in new Stockton poll

By David Wildstein, October 25 2018 11:07 am

Democrat Jeff Van Drew has a 17-point lead over Republican Seth Grossman, 55%-38% in the race for a Republican open seat in New Jersey’s 2nd district, according to a new Stockton University poll released this morning.

Grossman, who has made national news after being tagged with racist remarks, has gained six points on Van Drew since a September 19 Stockton poll gave Van Drew a 23-point lead.

Independent candidates are at 5%, the poll says.

“Senator Van Drew has been a member of the New Jersey Legislature since 2002, so it is clear that he is known and liked by a majority of 2nd District voters. His double-digit lead also reflects the evolving political makeup of the congressional district that has sent a Republican to Congress – Frank LoBiondo — for the past 24 years,” said Michael Klein, interim executive director of the Hughes Center. “Between November 2017 and September 2018, 59 percent of the new voters in District 2 – almost 4,700 out of 7,965 — registered as Democrats, and the number of unaffiliated voters shrank by over 1,500. The voters are picking sides, and many are lining up against the party of President Trump, whose job performance was rated fair or poor by over 57 percent of the respondents to our poll.”

Just 11% of voters say they saw the Van Drew/Grossman debate sponsored by the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy at Stockton, along with The Press of Atlantic City and SNJ Today.  Among that 11% universe, Van Drew was seen as the winner of the debate by a 2-1 margin.

Van Drew has double digit leads in Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, and Ocean counties.  The two candidates are tied in Salem County, and Grossman is ahead in Gloucester County.  A tiny part of Burlington County is also in the district.

The poll also show Republican Bob Hugin with a 47%-40% lead over incumbent Bob Menendez in the 2nd congressional district.  Hugin led by ten points in the September poll.

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