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Former Burlington County Sheriff Jean Stanfield and Assemblyman Ryan Peters. Photo by Nikita Biryukov for the New Jersey Globe

Maps: August voter registration numbers

8th, 21st districts shifting Demcoratic; Republicans still have edge in 25th

By Ben Kestenbaum, August 06 2019 9:43 am

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Unaffiliated voters remain the largest single group of registered voters statewide in New Jersey, accounting for 2,363,874 voters, or 39.5% of registered voters within the state.

Democrats remain in a razor-thin second place, accounting for 2,291,008 voters, or 38.3% of registered voters in the state, and growing fast, and at their current rate of growth, could overtake unaffiliated voters in 2020, if the presidential election year Democratic surge that occurred in 2008 and 2016 occurs again.

Republicans remain in a distant third place with only 1,322,586 registered voters in New Jersey, accounting for 22.1% of registered voters in the state.

In the 8th legislative district, where incumbent Assemblyman Joe Howarth (R-Howarth) lost his re-election bid in the primary, Republican incumbent Ryan Peters (R-Hainesport) and former Burlington County Sheriff Jean Stanfield hope to hold on in a district, that on paper, the GOP is last in terms of registered voters, with only 44,563 registered Republicans in the district, accounting for 28.2% of registered voters in the district. Same as statewide, unaffiliated voters are the largest group in this district, with 62,317 registered unaffiliated voters, or 39.4% of the districts registered voters. Meanwhile there are 51,329 registered Democrats in the district, accounting for 32.4% of the districts registered voters.

The 21st district represented by both Senate Minority Leader Tom Kean Jr. (R-Westfield and Assembly Minority Leader Jon Bramnick (R-Westfield), is trending Democratic fast.  It voted for Hilary Clinton, Phil Murphy, and Bob Menendez, and registered Democrats currently outnumber Republicans in this competitive district, with 31.4% of the districts registered voters being registered Democrats, and 28.5% of the districts registered voters are registered Republicans.

Unaffiliated voters remain the largest group in this district, accounting for 66,417 registered voters in the 21st district, or 40.2% of its registered voters, followed by Democrats at 51,816 registered voters, and Republicans at 47,020 registered voters.

Kean gets to run his next race in a congressional district that includes Republican areas of Hunterdon, Somerset, Warren and Morris counties, but Bramnick is up this year in the 21st.

The 25th district remains a bright spot for Republicans in terms of voter registration.

The GOP still maintains a registration lead over Democrats in this district, where Republicans have 53,969 registered voters in the district, accounting for 34.4% of the districts registered voters, compared to Democrats who have 45,837 registered voters in the district, or 29.2% of the districts registered voters. Unaffiliated voters outnumber Republican voters by slightly over 2%, with 57,292 of the districts registered voters being unaffiliated to any party, accounting for 36.5% of the 25th districts registered voters.

Assemblyman Anthony M. Bucco (R-Boonton) is seeking re-election to a sixth term.  He’s running with Denville Councilman Brian Bergen, a West Point graduate and retried Army helicopter pilot who is seeking the open seat of retiring Assemblyman Michael Patrick Carroll (R-Morris Township).  Democrats are running Lisa Bhimani, a physician who won 48% in a 2017 State Senate race against Bucco’s father, and Chester Democratic Municipal Chair Darcy Draeger.

Graph by Ben Kestenbaum
Graph by Ben Kestenbaum
Graph by Ben Kestenbaum
Graph by Ben Kestenbaum
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