Huge turnout for day one of early voting in N.J.; GOP shows significant edge in NJ-7

Statewide turnout of 135,075 is about even between Democrats and Republicans

A line for early voting in Verona on Saturday, October 26, 2024. (Photo: Essex County Democrats).

Early voting in New Jersey, which has the support of both parties, has now officially taken off.

On Saturday, 135,075 votes were cast on the first day of in-person early voting for the 2024 election, with Democrats and Republicans running about even: 38.5% of yesterday’s votes came from registered Democrats, and 37.4% were from registered Republicans; 23.5% of the first-day early votes came from unaffiliated voters.  The numbers came from an analysis from Associated Press election researcher Ryan Dubicki.

These numbers eclipse first-day early vote turnout in the last three elections: 13,269 in 2021, 26,658 in 2022, and 19,192 in 2023.

In the close, nationally watched race for Congress in the 7th district between GOP Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. (R-Westfield) and Democrat Sue Altman, Republicans had a 14-point turnout edge on the first day of in-person early votes on Saturday: 45%-31%.  With a total of 16,925 first-day early votes, NJ-7 was the highest Saturday turnout in the state.

That’s a flip from 2022, when Democrats held an edge in the first day of early voting, with 1,062 votes cast.  The Day One numbers represent a 426% increase over 2022.

Republicans cast more votes in Hunterdon (50%-28%), Morris (50%-25%), Somerset (45%-28%), Sussex (54%-23%) and Warren (56%-24%); Democrats have a 45%-30% edge in Union.

Among the specific voters who cast there in-person ballots on Saturday, 90% of the Democrats and 92% of the Republicans also voted in 2020 — a one-day electorate that was sure to vote anyway.  But among unaffiliated first-day early voters, 19% had not voted in 2020, an all VBM election.

With in-person early votes, the total advance vote in New Jersey is now at 734,572, which represents an 11% statewide voter turnout so far.  That number is likely closer to 12% when roughly 600,000 inactive voters are removed from the total registration.

Election officials reported receiving 10,134 vote-by-mail ballots on Saturday, with 54.7% of all VBMs sent out by county clerks already returned nine days before the general election.

Democrats have a substantial edge in the number of mail-in ballots requested, 54%-19%, and a 3-1 edge in returned VBMs.

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David Wildstein: David Wildstein is the Editor in Chief for the New Jersey Globe.